East Fife v East Kilbride
18+Scottish League One · Sat 3 Oct, 14:00
Data: excellent
- East Fife win
- 48%
- Draw
- 23%
- East Kilbride win
- 29%
FootyGrounds prediction
East Fife to win
Model probability 48%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score44 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- East Fife strength rating 1503 v East Kilbride 1499
- East Fife home record this season: 1W 2D 0L
- East Kilbride away form: 0W 1D 2L, 1 scored / 8 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 48% (Elo 47%, goals 44%, recent form 56%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 12 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model47%
- Goals model44%
- Recent-form model56%
Component disagreement: 12.3 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 48% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:06), now 48%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:05. Read the methodology.