Rotherham United v Crawley Town
18+EFL League Two · Sat 14 Nov, 15:00
Data: excellent
- Rotherham United win
- 50%
- Draw
- 22%
- Crawley Town win
- 28%
FootyGrounds prediction
Rotherham United to win
Model probability 50%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score58 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Rotherham United strength rating 1415 v Crawley Town 1395
- Rotherham United home record this season: 1W 5D 1L
- Crawley Town away form: 1W 1D 3L, 6 scored / 9 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Rotherham United -6 v Crawley Town -9
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 50% (Elo 50%, goals 50%, recent form 50%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model50%
- Goals model50%
- Recent-form model50%
Component disagreement: 0.5 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 50% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:06), now 50%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:13. Read the methodology.