Hibernian v Dundee United
18+Scottish Premiership · Sat 21 Nov, 15:00
Data: excellent
- Hibernian win
- 34%
- Draw
- 25%
- Dundee United win
- 41%
FootyGrounds prediction
Dundee United to win
Model probability 41%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score28 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Dundee United strength rating 1628 v Hibernian 1586
- Dundee United away record this season: 2W 2D 2L
- Hibernian home form: 0W 1D 5L, 5 scored / 11 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Dundee United 0 v Hibernian -6
- Dundee United unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 41% (Elo 34%, goals 37%, recent form 63%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 29 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model34%
- Goals model37%
- Recent-form model63%
Component disagreement: 29.4 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.