Gateshead v Altrincham
18+National League · Tue 29 Sept, 18:45
Data: good
- Gateshead win
- 41%
- Draw
- 26%
- Altrincham win
- 33%
FootyGrounds prediction
Gateshead to win
Model probability 41%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score36 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Gateshead strength rating 1350 v Altrincham 1365
- Gateshead home record this season: 1W 1D 1L
- Altrincham away form: 1W 0D 3L, 3 scored / 8 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 41% (Elo 43%, goals 40%, recent form 38%)
Main uncertainty: Altrincham are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model43%
- Goals model40%
- Recent-form model38%
Component disagreement: 5.2 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 41% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:07), now 41%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:05. Read the methodology.