York City v Walsall
18+EFL League Two · Sat 21 Nov, 15:00
Data: excellent
- York City win
- 42%
- Draw
- 25%
- Walsall win
- 33%
FootyGrounds prediction
York City to win
Model probability 42%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score43 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- York City strength rating 1448 v Walsall 1464
- York City home record this season: 5W 2D 0L
- Walsall away form: 1W 5D 0L, 8 scored / 5 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 42% (Elo 43%, goals 38%, recent form 46%)
Main uncertainty: Walsall are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. Walsall have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model43%
- Goals model38%
- Recent-form model46%
Component disagreement: 8.8 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:13. Read the methodology.