Villarreal CF v Levante
18+La Liga · Sun 20 Sept, 16:30
Data: excellent
- Villarreal CF win
- 42%
- Draw
- 24%
- Levante win
- 35%
FootyGrounds prediction
Villarreal CF to win
Model probability 42%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score36 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Villarreal CF strength rating 1601 v Levante 1611
- Levante away form: 0W 2D 1L, 0 scored / 3 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 42% (Elo 44%, goals 45%, recent form 30%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 15 percentage points on this outcome. Levante are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model44%
- Goals model45%
- Recent-form model30%
Component disagreement: 14.8 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 42% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:03), now 42%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:02. Read the methodology.