Minnesota United FC v LA Galaxy
18+Major League Soccer · Sun 20 Sept, 00:30
Data: good
- Minnesota United FC win
- 47%
- Draw
- 24%
- LA Galaxy win
- 29%
FootyGrounds prediction
Minnesota United FC to win
Model probability 47%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score46 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Minnesota United FC strength rating 1620 v LA Galaxy 1620
- Superior goal difference: Minnesota United FC -6 v LA Galaxy -9
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 47% (Elo 46%, goals 48%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model46%
- Goals model48%
Component disagreement: 1.6 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 47% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:05), now 47%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:03. Read the methodology.