Bologna v Torino
18+Serie A · Sat 19 Sept, 13:00
Data: excellent
- Bologna win
- 42%
- Draw
- 24%
- Torino win
- 34%
FootyGrounds prediction
Bologna to win
Model probability 42%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score34 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Bologna strength rating 1603 v Torino 1604
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 42% (Elo 46%, goals 43%, recent form 30%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 16 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model46%
- Goals model43%
- Recent-form model30%
Component disagreement: 16.1 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 42% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:04), now 42%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:02. Read the methodology.