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Cambrian United v Llandudno

18+

Cymru Premier · Sat 26 Sept, 13:30

Data: good
Cambrian United win
49%
Draw
22%
Llandudno win
29%

FootyGrounds prediction

Cambrian United to win

Model probability 49%

Predicted scoreline

2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score42 / 100 · Low–Moderate

Why the model predicts this

  • Cambrian United strength rating 1641 v Llandudno 1636
  • Cambrian United home record this season: 2W 2D 0L
  • Llandudno away form: 1W 0D 3L, 6 scored / 8 conceded
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 49% (Elo 47%, goals 47%, recent form 58%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 12 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Model agreement

Model components

  • Elo strength model47%
  • Goals model47%
  • Recent-form model58%

Component disagreement: 11.6 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.

How this prediction has changed

Previously 49% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:03), now 49%.

Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:02. Read the methodology.