Celtic v St Mirren
18+Scottish Premiership · Sat 21 Nov, 15:00
Data: excellent
- Celtic win
- 66%
- Draw
- 16%
- St Mirren win
- 18%
FootyGrounds prediction
Celtic to win
Model probability 66%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score63 / 100 · Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Celtic strength rating 1689 v St Mirren 1602
- Celtic home record this season: 4W 1D 1L
- St Mirren away form: 2W 0D 3L, 4 scored / 9 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Celtic +19 v St Mirren -7
- Celtic have won 3 of their last 5
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 66% (Elo 61%, goals 75%, recent form 62%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 14 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model61%
- Goals model75%
- Recent-form model62%
Component disagreement: 13.7 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.