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FC Dallas v Los Angeles FC

18+

Major League Soccer · Sun 27 Sept, 00:30

Data: good
FC Dallas win
45%
Draw
23%
Los Angeles FC win
32%

FootyGrounds prediction

FC Dallas to win

Model probability 45%

Predicted scoreline

2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score38 / 100 · Low–Moderate

Why the model predicts this

  • FC Dallas strength rating 1620 v Los Angeles FC 1608
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 45% (Elo 48%, goals 40%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Model agreement

Model components

  • Elo strength model48%
  • Goals model40%

Component disagreement: 8.7 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.

How this prediction has changed

Previously 45% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:05), now 45%.

Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:03. Read the methodology.