Frosinone v Como
18+Serie A · Sun 20 Sept, 13:00
Data: excellent
- Frosinone win
- 41%
- Draw
- 25%
- Como win
- 34%
FootyGrounds prediction
Frosinone to win
Model probability 41%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score38 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Frosinone strength rating 1632 v Como 1645
- Como away form: 2W 1D 0L, 7 scored / 3 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 41% (Elo 44%, goals 42%, recent form 32%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 11 percentage points on this outcome. Como are unbeaten in their last 4 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model44%
- Goals model42%
- Recent-form model32%
Component disagreement: 11.2 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 41% (calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:02), now 41%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 14:20:02. Read the methodology.