Solihull Moors v Boreham Wood
18+National League · Sat 26 Sept, 14:00
Data: good
- Solihull Moors win
- 27%
- Draw
- 22%
- Boreham Wood win
- 52%
FootyGrounds prediction
Boreham Wood to win
Model probability 52%
Predicted scoreline
1–2 (range 0–1 to 2–3)
FootyGrounds confidence score34 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Boreham Wood strength rating 1421 v Solihull Moors 1331
- Boreham Wood away record this season: 3W 1D 0L
- Solihull Moors home form: 1W 0D 4L, 4 scored / 10 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Boreham Wood +8 v Solihull Moors -11
- Boreham Wood unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 52% (Elo 42%, goals 58%, recent form 62%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 20 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model42%
- Goals model58%
- Recent-form model62%
Component disagreement: 20.0 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 52% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:07), now 52%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:05. Read the methodology.