Match predictor

• Elgin City strength rating 1462 v Stranraer 1460
• Elgin City home record this season: 2W 1D 0L
• Stranraer away form: 1W 1D 1L, 6 scored / 5 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Elgin City +9 v Stranraer +5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 47% (Elo 47%, goals 51%, recent form 40%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 11 percentage points on this outcome. Stranraer are unbeaten in their last 4 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Kelty Hearts strength rating 1426 v Edinburgh City 1447
• Kelty Hearts home record this season: 3W 0D 0L
• Edinburgh City away form: 1W 1D 1L, 7 scored / 5 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 42% (Elo 42%, goals 39%, recent form 49%)

Main uncertainty: Edinburgh City are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Clyde strength rating 1474 v Stirling Albion 1401
• Clyde away record this season: 1W 1D 1L
• Stirling Albion home form: 1W 1D 1L, 4 scored / 4 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Clyde +9 v Stirling Albion -12
• Clyde unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 49% (Elo 39%, goals 60%, recent form 52%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 21 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Forfar Athletic strength rating 1420 v Annan Athletic 1436
• Forfar Athletic home record this season: 2W 0D 1L
• Annan Athletic away form: 1W 0D 2L, 2 scored / 3 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 41% (Elo 43%, goals 37%, recent form 43%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• The Spartans strength rating 1467 v Dumbarton 1407
• The Spartans away record this season: 2W 0D 1L
• Dumbarton home form: 2W 0D 1L, 3 scored / 4 conceded
• Superior goal difference: The Spartans +7 v Dumbarton -9
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 42% (Elo 36%, goals 53%, recent form 35%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 18 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Stranraer strength rating 1460 v Edinburgh City 1447
• Stranraer home record this season: 3W 0D 1L
• Edinburgh City away form: 1W 1D 1L, 7 scored / 5 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Stranraer +5 v Edinburgh City +2
• Stranraer unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 50% (Elo 49%, goals 53%, recent form 49%)

Main uncertainty: Edinburgh City are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• The Spartans strength rating 1467 v Kelty Hearts 1426
• The Spartans home record this season: 1W 3D 0L
• Kelty Hearts away form: 0W 0D 4L, 2 scored / 11 conceded
• Superior goal difference: The Spartans +7 v Kelty Hearts -5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 58% (Elo 54%, goals 66%, recent form 57%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 12 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Annan Athletic strength rating 1436 v Stirling Albion 1401
• Annan Athletic home record this season: 2W 0D 2L
• Stirling Albion away form: 0W 0D 4L, 5 scored / 17 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Annan Athletic 0 v Stirling Albion -12
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 62% (Elo 53%, goals 62%, recent form 81%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 28 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Dumbarton strength rating 1407 v Forfar Athletic 1420
• Dumbarton home record this season: 2W 0D 1L
• Forfar Athletic away form: 0W 2D 2L, 3 scored / 10 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 46% (Elo 44%, goals 41%, recent form 60%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 19 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Elgin City strength rating 1462 v Clyde 1474
• Elgin City home record this season: 2W 1D 0L
• Clyde away form: 1W 1D 1L, 5 scored / 5 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 45% (Elo 44%, goals 48%, recent form 40%)

Main uncertainty: Clyde are unbeaten in their last 4 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.