Match predictor

• Larne strength rating 1648 v Carrick Rangers 1620
• Carrick Rangers home form: 1W 0D 2L, 2 scored / 5 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Larne +6 v Carrick Rangers +1
• Larne unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 38% (Elo 33%, goals 39%, recent form 50%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 17 percentage points on this outcome. Limited data recorded for this fixture so far this season. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Dungannon Swifts strength rating 1627 v Ballymena United 1613
• Dungannon Swifts home record this season: 1W 0D 2L
• Ballymena United away form: 1W 1D 2L, 8 scored / 7 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Dungannon Swifts +1 v Ballymena United -1
• Dungannon Swifts have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 50% (Elo 49%, goals 48%, recent form 55%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Linfield strength rating 1641 v Crusaders 1627
• Linfield home record this season: 3W 0D 1L
• Crusaders away form: 1W 0D 2L, 4 scored / 7 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Linfield +3 v Crusaders +1
• Linfield unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 50% (Elo 49%, goals 49%, recent form 53%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Cliftonville strength rating 1632 v Glentoran 1615
• Cliftonville home record this season: 2W 0D 1L
• Glentoran away form: 1W 0D 2L, 4 scored / 4 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Cliftonville +3 v Glentoran 0
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 52% (Elo 49%, goals 49%, recent form 60%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 10 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Bangor strength rating 1571 v Portadown 1573
• Bangor home record this season: 0W 1D 2L
• Portadown away form: 0W 0D 3L, 3 scored / 7 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 48% (Elo 46%, goals 41%, recent form 65%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 24 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Coleraine strength rating 1675 v Limavady United 1599
• Coleraine home record this season: 2W 1D 0L
• Superior goal difference: Coleraine +12 v Limavady United -4
• Coleraine unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 63% (Elo 60%, goals 71%, recent form 59%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 12 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Larne strength rating 1630 v Dungannon Swifts 1645
• Dungannon Swifts away form: 3W 0D 0L, 5 scored / 0 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 40% (Elo 43%, goals 37%, recent form 38%)

Main uncertainty: Dungannon Swifts are unbeaten in their last 4 matches. Dungannon Swifts have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type. Limited data recorded for this fixture so far this season.

• Coleraine strength rating 1675 v Linfield 1641
• Coleraine home record this season: 2W 1D 0L
• Linfield away form: 2W 1D 0L, 4 scored / 1 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Coleraine +12 v Linfield +3
• Coleraine unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 51% (Elo 53%, goals 56%, recent form 39%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 17 percentage points on this outcome. Linfield are unbeaten in their last 4 matches. Linfield have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type.

• Glentoran strength rating 1615 v Carrick Rangers 1620
• Glentoran home record this season: 1W 1D 2L
• Carrick Rangers away form: 2W 1D 1L, 7 scored / 3 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 42% (Elo 45%, goals 42%, recent form 32%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 13 percentage points on this outcome. Carrick Rangers have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Cliftonville strength rating 1632 v Limavady United 1599
• Cliftonville away record this season: 2W 0D 2L
• Limavady United home form: 1W 0D 3L, 4 scored / 7 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Cliftonville +3 v Limavady United -4
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 38% (Elo 33%, goals 41%, recent form 42%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Crusaders strength rating 1627 v Bangor 1571
• Crusaders home record this season: 3W 0D 1L
• Bangor away form: 0W 1D 3L, 2 scored / 7 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Crusaders +1 v Bangor -12
• Crusaders have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 65% (Elo 56%, goals 68%, recent form 78%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 22 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Ballymena United strength rating 1613 v Portadown 1573
• Portadown away form: 0W 0D 3L, 3 scored / 7 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Ballymena United -1 v Portadown -10
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 60% (Elo 54%, goals 61%, recent form 73%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 19 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Limavady United strength rating 1599 v Portadown 1573
• Portadown home form: 0W 1D 3L, 1 scored / 7 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Limavady United -4 v Portadown -10
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 40% (Elo 33%, goals 39%, recent form 56%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 24 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Carrick Rangers strength rating 1620 v Crusaders 1627
• Carrick Rangers home record this season: 1W 0D 2L
• Crusaders away form: 1W 0D 2L, 4 scored / 7 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 43% (Elo 45%, goals 46%, recent form 34%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 12 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Glentoran strength rating 1615 v Dungannon Swifts 1627
• Glentoran home record this season: 1W 1D 2L
• Dungannon Swifts away form: 3W 0D 1L, 5 scored / 3 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 40% (Elo 44%, goals 42%, recent form 27%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 17 percentage points on this outcome. Dungannon Swifts have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Cliftonville strength rating 1632 v Ballymena United 1613
• Cliftonville home record this season: 2W 0D 1L
• Ballymena United away form: 1W 1D 2L, 8 scored / 7 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Cliftonville +3 v Ballymena United -1
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 52% (Elo 50%, goals 52%, recent form 58%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Coleraine strength rating 1675 v Bangor 1571
• Coleraine away record this season: 4W 0D 0L
• Bangor home form: 0W 1D 2L, 2 scored / 9 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Coleraine +12 v Bangor -12
• Coleraine unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 58% (Elo 45%, goals 68%, recent form 71%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 26 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.