Match predictor

• Altrincham strength rating 1365 v Hartlepool United 1375
• Altrincham home record this season: 2W 0D 1L
• Hartlepool United away form: 1W 0D 3L, 2 scored / 5 conceded
• Altrincham have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 45% (Elo 44%, goals 38%, recent form 58%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 20 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Kidderminster Harriers strength rating 1408 v Gateshead 1350
• Kidderminster Harriers home record this season: 2W 2D 0L
• Gateshead away form: 0W 0D 4L, 2 scored / 11 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Kidderminster Harriers +5 v Gateshead -8
• Kidderminster Harriers unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 63% (Elo 57%, goals 64%, recent form 76%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 20 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Boreham Wood strength rating 1421 v Scunthorpe United 1371
• Boreham Wood away record this season: 3W 1D 0L
• Scunthorpe United home form: 1W 1D 1L, 4 scored / 4 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Boreham Wood +8 v Scunthorpe United -2
• Boreham Wood unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 42% (Elo 35%, goals 45%, recent form 52%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 18 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Yeovil Town strength rating 1382 v Solihull Moors 1331
• Yeovil Town home record this season: 2W 1D 1L
• Solihull Moors away form: 0W 1D 2L, 4 scored / 9 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Yeovil Town +1 v Solihull Moors -11
• Solihull Moors played just 3 days ago
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 61% (Elo 56%, goals 64%, recent form 68%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 12 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Tamworth strength rating 1350 v Wealdstone 1367
• Tamworth home record this season: 1W 1D 1L
• Wealdstone away form: 2W 1D 1L, 7 scored / 4 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 41% (Elo 43%, goals 43%, recent form 34%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Hartlepool United strength rating 1375 v Worthing 1378
• Hartlepool United home record this season: 2W 0D 1L
• Worthing away form: 1W 1D 1L, 7 scored / 7 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 44% (Elo 46%, goals 42%, recent form 44%)

Main uncertainty: Worthing are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Eastleigh strength rating 1381 v Carlisle United 1387
• Eastleigh home record this season: 2W 2D 0L
• Carlisle United away form: 0W 2D 1L, 3 scored / 4 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 45% (Elo 45%, goals 42%, recent form 51%)

Main uncertainty: Carlisle United are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Aldershot Town strength rating 1400 v Barrow 1364
• Aldershot Town away record this season: 2W 2D 0L
• Barrow home form: 1W 0D 2L, 5 scored / 4 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Aldershot Town +4 v Barrow -2
• Aldershot Town unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 38% (Elo 33%, goals 38%, recent form 48%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 14 percentage points on this outcome. Barrow are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Forest Green Rovers strength rating 1382 v Boston United 1366
• Forest Green Rovers home record this season: 2W 0D 2L
• Boston United away form: 1W 1D 1L, 5 scored / 4 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Forest Green Rovers +1 v Boston United -2
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 49% (Elo 49%, goals 50%, recent form 48%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• FC Halifax Town strength rating 1388 v Sutton United 1380
• FC Halifax Town home record this season: 3W 0D 1L
• Sutton United away form: 2W 0D 1L, 4 scored / 3 conceded
• Superior goal difference: FC Halifax Town +3 v Sutton United 0
• FC Halifax Town have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 48% (Elo 48%, goals 48%, recent form 46%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Boreham Wood strength rating 1421 v Harrogate Town 1407
• Boreham Wood home record this season: 2W 1D 0L
• Harrogate Town away form: 2W 0D 1L, 6 scored / 4 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Boreham Wood +8 v Harrogate Town +7
• Boreham Wood unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 50% (Elo 49%, goals 51%, recent form 49%)

Main uncertainty: Harrogate Town are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Southend United strength rating 1407 v Gateshead 1350
• Southend United away record this season: 2W 2D 0L
• Gateshead home form: 1W 1D 1L, 3 scored / 2 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Southend United +6 v Gateshead -8
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 43% (Elo 35%, goals 51%, recent form 47%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 15 percentage points on this outcome. Gateshead have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• AFC Fylde strength rating 1420 v Altrincham 1365
• AFC Fylde home record this season: 1W 2D 0L
• Altrincham away form: 1W 0D 3L, 3 scored / 8 conceded
• Superior goal difference: AFC Fylde +8 v Altrincham -5
• AFC Fylde unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 59% (Elo 56%, goals 66%, recent form 54%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 11 percentage points on this outcome. Altrincham are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Kidderminster Harriers strength rating 1408 v Woking 1367
• Kidderminster Harriers away record this season: 2W 0D 1L
• Woking home form: 2W 1D 1L, 9 scored / 7 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Kidderminster Harriers +5 v Woking -2
• Kidderminster Harriers unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 37% (Elo 34%, goals 40%, recent form 40%)

Main uncertainty: Woking are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Hornchurch strength rating 1374 v Scunthorpe United 1371
• Hornchurch home record this season: 2W 0D 1L
• Scunthorpe United away form: 1W 0D 3L, 6 scored / 8 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 48% (Elo 47%, goals 46%, recent form 54%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Boreham Wood strength rating 1421 v Solihull Moors 1331
• Boreham Wood away record this season: 3W 1D 0L
• Solihull Moors home form: 1W 0D 4L, 4 scored / 10 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Boreham Wood +8 v Solihull Moors -11
• Boreham Wood unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 52% (Elo 42%, goals 58%, recent form 62%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 20 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Worthing strength rating 1378 v FC Halifax Town 1388
• Worthing home record this season: 2W 1D 2L
• FC Halifax Town away form: 1W 0D 3L, 4 scored / 6 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 43% (Elo 44%, goals 42%, recent form 40%)

Main uncertainty: FC Halifax Town are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Sutton United strength rating 1380 v Forest Green Rovers 1382
• Sutton United home record this season: 3W 0D 2L
• Forest Green Rovers away form: 2W 1D 1L, 4 scored / 4 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 45% (Elo 46%, goals 43%, recent form 45%)

Main uncertainty: Forest Green Rovers are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Aldershot Town strength rating 1400 v Tamworth 1350
• Aldershot Town home record this season: 2W 1D 1L
• Tamworth away form: 0W 1D 4L, 8 scored / 16 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Aldershot Town +4 v Tamworth -8
• Aldershot Town unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 61% (Elo 55%, goals 63%, recent form 71%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 16 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Wealdstone strength rating 1367 v Gateshead 1350
• Wealdstone home record this season: 0W 1D 3L
• Gateshead away form: 0W 0D 4L, 2 scored / 11 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Wealdstone -3 v Gateshead -8
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 53% (Elo 49%, goals 53%, recent form 60%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 10 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Southend United strength rating 1407 v Barrow 1364
• Southend United home record this season: 3W 0D 1L
• Barrow away form: 0W 3D 2L, 5 scored / 8 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Southend United +6 v Barrow -2
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 57% (Elo 54%, goals 58%, recent form 63%)

Main uncertainty: Barrow are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Kidderminster Harriers strength rating 1408 v Yeovil Town 1382
• Kidderminster Harriers home record this season: 2W 2D 0L
• Yeovil Town away form: 1W 2D 1L, 6 scored / 6 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Kidderminster Harriers +5 v Yeovil Town +1
• Kidderminster Harriers unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 52% (Elo 51%, goals 53%, recent form 51%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• AFC Fylde strength rating 1420 v Boston United 1366
• AFC Fylde away record this season: 4W 0D 1L
• Boston United home form: 1W 1D 3L, 5 scored / 8 conceded
• Superior goal difference: AFC Fylde +8 v Boston United -2
• AFC Fylde unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 42% (Elo 35%, goals 44%, recent form 55%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 20 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Harrogate Town strength rating 1407 v Eastleigh 1381
• Harrogate Town home record this season: 3W 1D 1L
• Eastleigh away form: 1W 0D 3L, 3 scored / 5 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Harrogate Town +7 v Eastleigh 0
• Harrogate Town have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 53% (Elo 51%, goals 56%, recent form 55%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Carlisle United strength rating 1387 v Woking 1367
• Carlisle United home record this season: 2W 2D 1L
• Woking away form: 0W 1D 3L, 1 scored / 5 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Carlisle United +3 v Woking -2
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 53% (Elo 50%, goals 54%, recent form 57%)

Main uncertainty: Woking are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Scunthorpe United strength rating 1371 v Hartlepool United 1375
• Scunthorpe United home record this season: 1W 1D 1L
• Hartlepool United away form: 1W 0D 3L, 2 scored / 5 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 45% (Elo 45%, goals 42%, recent form 49%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Altrincham strength rating 1365 v Hornchurch 1374
• Altrincham home record this season: 2W 0D 1L
• Hornchurch away form: 2W 0D 3L, 6 scored / 11 conceded
• Altrincham have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 45% (Elo 44%, goals 41%, recent form 53%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 12 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Boreham Wood strength rating 1421 v Kidderminster Harriers 1408
• Boreham Wood home record this season: 2W 1D 0L
• Kidderminster Harriers away form: 2W 0D 1L, 7 scored / 5 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Boreham Wood +8 v Kidderminster Harriers +5
• Boreham Wood unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 48% (Elo 49%, goals 50%, recent form 44%)

Main uncertainty: Kidderminster Harriers are unbeaten in their last 4 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Woking strength rating 1367 v Solihull Moors 1331
• Woking home record this season: 2W 1D 1L
• Solihull Moors away form: 0W 1D 2L, 4 scored / 9 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Woking -2 v Solihull Moors -11
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 57% (Elo 53%, goals 58%, recent form 66%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 13 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Yeovil Town strength rating 1382 v Worthing 1378
• Yeovil Town home record this season: 2W 1D 1L
• Worthing away form: 1W 1D 1L, 7 scored / 7 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Yeovil Town +1 v Worthing 0
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 48% (Elo 47%, goals 49%, recent form 48%)

Main uncertainty: Worthing are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• AFC Fylde strength rating 1420 v Carlisle United 1387
• AFC Fylde home record this season: 1W 2D 0L
• Carlisle United away form: 0W 2D 1L, 3 scored / 4 conceded
• Superior goal difference: AFC Fylde +8 v Carlisle United +3
• AFC Fylde unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 54% (Elo 52%, goals 55%, recent form 55%)

Main uncertainty: Carlisle United are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Hartlepool United strength rating 1375 v Harrogate Town 1407
• Hartlepool United home record this season: 2W 0D 1L
• Harrogate Town away form: 2W 0D 1L, 6 scored / 4 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 37% (Elo 40%, goals 35%, recent form 35%)

Main uncertainty: Harrogate Town are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Barrow strength rating 1364 v Scunthorpe United 1371
• Barrow home record this season: 1W 0D 2L
• Scunthorpe United away form: 1W 0D 3L, 6 scored / 8 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 45% (Elo 45%, goals 46%, recent form 46%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Gateshead strength rating 1350 v Altrincham 1365
• Gateshead home record this season: 1W 1D 1L
• Altrincham away form: 1W 0D 3L, 3 scored / 8 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 41% (Elo 43%, goals 40%, recent form 38%)

Main uncertainty: Altrincham are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• FC Halifax Town strength rating 1388 v Boston United 1366
• FC Halifax Town home record this season: 3W 0D 1L
• Boston United away form: 1W 1D 1L, 5 scored / 4 conceded
• Superior goal difference: FC Halifax Town +3 v Boston United -2
• FC Halifax Town have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 53% (Elo 50%, goals 52%, recent form 59%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Forest Green Rovers strength rating 1382 v Wealdstone 1367
• Forest Green Rovers home record this season: 2W 0D 2L
• Wealdstone away form: 2W 1D 1L, 7 scored / 4 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Forest Green Rovers +1 v Wealdstone -3
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 48% (Elo 49%, goals 51%, recent form 39%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 12 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Hornchurch strength rating 1374 v Aldershot Town 1400
• Hornchurch home record this season: 2W 0D 1L
• Aldershot Town away form: 2W 2D 0L, 5 scored / 3 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 37% (Elo 41%, goals 35%, recent form 34%)

Main uncertainty: Aldershot Town are unbeaten in their last 4 matches. Aldershot Town have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Eastleigh strength rating 1381 v Southend United 1407
• Eastleigh home record this season: 2W 2D 0L
• Southend United away form: 2W 2D 0L, 9 scored / 5 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 39% (Elo 41%, goals 38%, recent form 36%)

Main uncertainty: Southend United are unbeaten in their last 4 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Sutton United strength rating 1380 v Tamworth 1350
• Sutton United away record this season: 2W 0D 1L
• Tamworth home form: 1W 1D 1L, 6 scored / 6 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Sutton United 0 v Tamworth -8
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 38% (Elo 33%, goals 40%, recent form 44%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 11 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Harrogate Town strength rating 1407 v Hornchurch 1374
• Harrogate Town home record this season: 3W 1D 1L
• Hornchurch away form: 2W 0D 3L, 6 scored / 11 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Harrogate Town +7 v Hornchurch -2
• Harrogate Town have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 55% (Elo 52%, goals 59%, recent form 54%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Eastleigh strength rating 1381 v Woking 1367
• Eastleigh home record this season: 2W 2D 0L
• Woking away form: 0W 1D 3L, 1 scored / 5 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Eastleigh 0 v Woking -2
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 50% (Elo 49%, goals 47%, recent form 58%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 11 percentage points on this outcome. Woking are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Aldershot Town strength rating 1400 v Carlisle United 1387
• Aldershot Town home record this season: 2W 1D 1L
• Carlisle United away form: 0W 2D 1L, 3 scored / 4 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Aldershot Town +4 v Carlisle United +3
• Aldershot Town unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 50% (Elo 49%, goals 48%, recent form 55%)

Main uncertainty: Carlisle United are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Scunthorpe United strength rating 1371 v Forest Green Rovers 1382
• Scunthorpe United home record this season: 1W 1D 1L
• Forest Green Rovers away form: 2W 1D 1L, 4 scored / 4 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 42% (Elo 44%, goals 42%, recent form 36%)

Main uncertainty: Forest Green Rovers are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Hartlepool United strength rating 1375 v Tamworth 1350
• Hartlepool United home record this season: 2W 0D 1L
• Tamworth away form: 0W 1D 4L, 8 scored / 16 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Hartlepool United -1 v Tamworth -8
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 55% (Elo 51%, goals 53%, recent form 67%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 16 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• FC Halifax Town strength rating 1388 v Solihull Moors 1331
• FC Halifax Town away record this season: 1W 0D 3L
• Solihull Moors home form: 1W 0D 4L, 4 scored / 10 conceded
• Superior goal difference: FC Halifax Town +3 v Solihull Moors -11
• FC Halifax Town have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 43% (Elo 35%, goals 49%, recent form 47%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 14 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Southend United strength rating 1407 v AFC Fylde 1420
• Southend United home record this season: 3W 0D 1L
• AFC Fylde away form: 4W 0D 1L, 13 scored / 7 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 43% (Elo 43%, goals 45%, recent form 36%)

Main uncertainty: AFC Fylde are unbeaten in their last 4 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Barrow strength rating 1364 v Wealdstone 1367
• Barrow home record this season: 1W 0D 2L
• Wealdstone away form: 2W 1D 1L, 7 scored / 4 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Barrow -2 v Wealdstone -3
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 44% (Elo 46%, goals 47%, recent form 34%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 13 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Kidderminster Harriers strength rating 1408 v Sutton United 1380
• Kidderminster Harriers home record this season: 2W 2D 0L
• Sutton United away form: 2W 0D 1L, 4 scored / 3 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Kidderminster Harriers +5 v Sutton United 0
• Kidderminster Harriers unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 50% (Elo 51%, goals 51%, recent form 47%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Yeovil Town strength rating 1382 v Boston United 1366
• Yeovil Town home record this season: 2W 1D 1L
• Boston United away form: 1W 1D 1L, 5 scored / 4 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Yeovil Town +1 v Boston United -2
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 51% (Elo 49%, goals 51%, recent form 54%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Worthing strength rating 1378 v Gateshead 1350
• Worthing away record this season: 1W 1D 1L
• Gateshead home form: 1W 1D 1L, 3 scored / 2 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Worthing 0 v Gateshead -8
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 37% (Elo 33%, goals 43%, recent form 36%)

Main uncertainty: Gateshead have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Boreham Wood strength rating 1421 v Altrincham 1365
• Boreham Wood home record this season: 2W 1D 0L
• Altrincham away form: 1W 0D 3L, 3 scored / 8 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Boreham Wood +8 v Altrincham -5
• Boreham Wood unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 61% (Elo 56%, goals 66%, recent form 60%)

Main uncertainty: Altrincham are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.