Match predictor

• Queen's Park strength rating 1532 v Ayr United 1544
• Queen's Park home record this season: 1W 0D 2L
• Ayr United away form: 0W 1D 2L, 1 scored / 4 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 42% (Elo 44%, goals 35%, recent form 51%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 16 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Partick Thistle strength rating 1575 v Raith Rovers 1591
• Partick Thistle home record this season: 2W 1D 0L
• Raith Rovers away form: 2W 0D 1L, 4 scored / 2 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 38% (Elo 43%, goals 32%, recent form 39%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 11 percentage points on this outcome. Raith Rovers are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. Raith Rovers have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type.

• Dunfermline Athletic strength rating 1565 v Greenock Morton 1519
• Dunfermline Athletic away record this season: 0W 2D 1L
• Greenock Morton home form: 0W 0D 3L, 2 scored / 7 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Dunfermline Athletic +1 v Greenock Morton -8
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 43% (Elo 34%, goals 44%, recent form 59%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 25 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Livingston strength rating 1570 v Inverness Caledonian Thistle 1553
• Livingston home record this season: 2W 0D 1L
• Inverness Caledonian Thistle away form: 1W 1D 1L, 4 scored / 4 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Livingston +3 v Inverness Caledonian Thistle -2
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 51% (Elo 49%, goals 52%, recent form 52%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Stenhousemuir strength rating 1598 v Arbroath 1553
• Stenhousemuir home record this season: 3W 0D 0L
• Arbroath away form: 1W 0D 2L, 2 scored / 7 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Stenhousemuir +8 v Arbroath -4
• Stenhousemuir unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 60% (Elo 54%, goals 65%, recent form 62%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 11 percentage points on this outcome. Arbroath are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Inverness Caledonian Thistle strength rating 1553 v Greenock Morton 1519
• Inverness Caledonian Thistle home record this season: 0W 2D 1L
• Greenock Morton away form: 0W 1D 2L, 2 scored / 5 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Inverness Caledonian Thistle -2 v Greenock Morton -8
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 56% (Elo 52%, goals 53%, recent form 67%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 15 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Arbroath strength rating 1553 v Queen's Park 1532
• Arbroath home record this season: 1W 2D 0L
• Queen's Park away form: 0W 1D 2L, 0 scored / 4 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Arbroath -4 v Queen's Park -6
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 51% (Elo 50%, goals 45%, recent form 66%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 21 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Dunfermline Athletic strength rating 1565 v Partick Thistle 1575
• Dunfermline Athletic home record this season: 2W 1D 0L
• Partick Thistle away form: 1W 1D 1L, 2 scored / 2 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 40% (Elo 44%, goals 33%, recent form 45%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 12 percentage points on this outcome. Partick Thistle are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. Partick Thistle have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type.

• Stenhousemuir strength rating 1598 v Ayr United 1544
• Stenhousemuir away record this season: 2W 1D 0L
• Ayr United home form: 1W 1D 1L, 4 scored / 4 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Stenhousemuir +8 v Ayr United -3
• Stenhousemuir unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 44% (Elo 35%, goals 50%, recent form 53%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 18 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Raith Rovers strength rating 1591 v Livingston 1570
• Raith Rovers home record this season: 2W 1D 0L
• Livingston away form: 1W 0D 2L, 4 scored / 4 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Raith Rovers +8 v Livingston +3
• Raith Rovers have won 4 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 52% (Elo 50%, goals 52%, recent form 56%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Livingston strength rating 1570 v Ayr United 1544
• Livingston home record this season: 2W 0D 1L
• Ayr United away form: 0W 1D 2L, 1 scored / 4 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Livingston +3 v Ayr United -3
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 55% (Elo 51%, goals 54%, recent form 66%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 15 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Raith Rovers strength rating 1591 v Greenock Morton 1519
• Raith Rovers away record this season: 2W 0D 1L
• Greenock Morton home form: 0W 0D 3L, 2 scored / 7 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Raith Rovers +8 v Greenock Morton -8
• Raith Rovers have won 4 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 53% (Elo 39%, goals 61%, recent form 72%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 33 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Partick Thistle strength rating 1575 v Arbroath 1553
• Partick Thistle home record this season: 2W 1D 0L
• Arbroath away form: 1W 0D 2L, 2 scored / 7 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Partick Thistle +3 v Arbroath -4
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 52% (Elo 50%, goals 52%, recent form 55%)

Main uncertainty: Arbroath are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Stenhousemuir strength rating 1598 v Dunfermline Athletic 1565
• Stenhousemuir home record this season: 3W 0D 0L
• Dunfermline Athletic away form: 0W 2D 1L, 1 scored / 3 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Stenhousemuir +8 v Dunfermline Athletic +1
• Stenhousemuir unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 55% (Elo 52%, goals 53%, recent form 63%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 11 percentage points on this outcome. Dunfermline Athletic are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.